1

Extravaganza

3yo Filly · 9-6

Clairefontaine · Prix Des Anemones Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#4

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

10%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 06/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1236/08C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 14/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y GS 124C5 @ Clairefontaine 22/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12322/08C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 124C5 @ Argentan 08/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 1248/10C5C5 @ Lignieres 29/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 124C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1248/05C5C5 @ Nancy 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 124C0 @ Chantilly 19/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12319/07C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Chantilly?10th10th0
2026-06-05Nancy?3rd3rd0
2026-05-08Lyon-Parilly?10th10th0
2025-11-29Lignieres?7th7th0
2025-10-08Argentan?9th9th0
2025-09-20Le Lion D'angers?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0820/098/0519/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20258th22/10%0%0.00
14/08/20254th9/153%50%-0.03
22/08/20255th18/15%56%+0.50
20/09/20256th13/266%29%-0.37
08/10/20259th12/137%27%-0.10
29/11/20257th28/10%54%+0.54
08/05/202610th50/10%18%+0.18
05/06/20263rd28/10%83%+0.83
19/07/202610th22/10%31%+0.31