5

Simplythebest

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Clairefontaine · Prix Des Anemones Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#9

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 05/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1235/12C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 14/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Std 128C5 @ Lyon La Soie 02/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1282/03C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 128C5 @ Moulins 09/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1239/04C5C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 16/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 120C5 @ Marseille 22/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 12322/05C5C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 123C5 @ Aix-Les-Bains 07/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 1237/07C5projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Aix-Les-Bains?7th7th0
2026-06-17Salon-De-Provence?4th4th0
2026-05-22Marseille?5th5th0
2026-04-16Salon-De-Provence?5th5th0
2026-04-09Moulins?2nd2nd0
2026-03-21Lyon La Soie?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1221/0322/057/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/12/20252nd16/116%91%+0.75
14/02/20265th20/10%71%+0.71
02/03/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
21/03/20263rd13/891%67%-0.25
09/04/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
16/04/20265th5/174%20%-0.54
22/05/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
17/06/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
07/07/20267th10/147%0%-0.47