5
Bobby Jean
4yo Filly · 9-3
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Paturages Handicap · 1m 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲6878
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6885.5 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6880.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -6877.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 34392 | 9th | 41276th | −34389 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-30 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 23% | -0.48 |
| 15/11/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 12/12/2025 | 16th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/12/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 29/01/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |