15
Comtesse Vera
7yo Mare · 8-2
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Paturages Handicap · 1m 208y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Saint-Malo | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 4 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Chateaubriant | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Pornichet | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 29/11/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 12/07/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.29 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |