13
Love Affair
8yo Mare · 8-10
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Paturages Handicap · 1m 208y
#12
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-10 | Le Mans | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-02-21 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Deauville | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-10 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-11-06 | Amiens | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2024 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 26/09/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 16/10/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 06/11/2024 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 10/12/2024 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 20/12/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 94% | +0.25 |
| 01/02/2025 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 21/02/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 10/03/2025 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 23% | -0.30 |