1
Mr Harpin
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Paturages Handicap · 1m 208y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 22/03/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/03/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 22/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 20/05/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 31% | -0.27 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 9/4 | 88% | 9% | -0.79 |