7

Pokrov

4yo Gelding · 9-1

Clairefontaine · Prix Des Paturages Handicap · 1m 208y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chantilly 16/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12216/03C?3 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 118C0 @ Chantilly 22/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 13122/04C?3 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1313 @ ParisLongchamp 14/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 11814/0533 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1213 @ Chantilly 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12524/0633 @ Clairefontaine 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1253 @ Dieppe 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12018/073projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Dieppe33rd3rd0
2026-07-11Clairefontaine34th4th0
2026-06-24Chantilly36th6th0
2026-06-05Compiegne310th10th0
2026-05-14ParisLongchamp33rd3rd0
2026-05-04Chantilly310th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/034/0524/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/20264th3/184%67%-0.18
11/04/202613th15/261%8%-0.53
22/04/20269th15/261%33%-0.27
04/05/202610th40/10%40%+0.40
14/05/20263rd33/10%82%+0.82
05/06/202610th11/142%31%-0.11
24/06/20266th14/126%44%+0.18
11/07/20264th14/126%77%+0.51
18/07/20263rd7/163%85%+0.21