IvyArcIvyArc
12

Seven Timer

4yo Filly · 8-10

Clairefontaine · Prix Des Paturages Handicap · 1m 208y

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 11.9 /10 (raw 10.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dieppe 24/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 12324/05C5C5 @ Dieppe 07/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1287/07C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12411/04C53 @ Compiegne 20/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 13220/0533 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1225/0634 @ Le Lion D'angers 24/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 11724/074projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Le Lion D'angers411th12th−1
2026-06-05Compiegne313th13th0
2026-05-20Compiegne310th10th0
2026-04-11Fontainebleau?5th7th−2
2025-07-07Dieppe?13th15th−2
2025-05-24Dieppe?13th15th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/057/0711/0420/055/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength9%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/202513th66/10%8%+0.08
07/07/202513th50/10%14%+0.14
11/04/20265th66/10%43%+0.43
20/05/202610th33/10%31%+0.31
05/06/202613th14/126%8%-0.19
24/07/202611th25/10%17%+0.17