8
Triptajika
7yo Mare · 8-12
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Paturages Handicap · 1m 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 19/03/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 29/03/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.21 |
| 07/04/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 20/05/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 07/07/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |