7
Born To Dare
4yo Filly · 9-4
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Bocages Handicap · 1m 208y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 24/02/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 18/03/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 56% | +0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.38 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |