14
Candy Cherie
4yo Filly · 9-1
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Bocages Handicap · 1m 208y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Marseille | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/01/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 63% | -0.28 |