4
Gran Habano
5yo Colt · 9-6
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Bocages Handicap · 1m 208y
#14
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength94%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/03/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |