12
Iffrocta Fal
4yo Filly · 9-2
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Bocages Handicap · 1m 208y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Marseille | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 85% | +0.79 |
| 02/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 15/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 23/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/07/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 15% | -0.32 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |