16
Jack Of Trades
8yo Gelding · 8-13
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Bocages Handicap · 1m 208y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Le Croise-Laroche | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 17/10/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 42% | -0.27 |
| 13/02/2026 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/03/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 09/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 19/06/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |