15
Melanies Joy
5yo Gelding · 8-13
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Bocages Handicap · 1m 208y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 16
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength44%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/02/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 18/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 79% | +0.02 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 54% | -0.25 |
| 28/04/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 15/05/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 09/06/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.01 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |