6
Mister Mael
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Bocages Handicap · 1m 208y
#12
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 16/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/04/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/06/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 09/06/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |