2
Polnor
4yo Gelding · 9-6
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Bocages Handicap · 1m 208y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 03/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 46% | -0.25 |
| 07/02/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 03/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.32 |