1
Betsylicious
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 78
Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Allowance · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
8/13
Win Prob
43%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-01-23 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2025-04-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2024 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 05/07/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/09/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 04/04/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 01/08/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |