7
Queen Jubilee
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 81
Colonial Downs · Race 1 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-02-27 | Fair Grounds | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-01-19 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2024-12-29 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-11-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/10/2024 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 30/11/2024 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 29/12/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 19/01/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 27/02/2025 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/01/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |