1
All Fruits Ripe
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 67
Colonial Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength7%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/08/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 05/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |