5

Benjis Benefit

8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 77

Colonial Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA91 @ Downpatrick 26/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 91 · 2m2f185y Goo 164 · below its mark26/04/2024 · OR 91 par26/0491OR 91BHA95 @ Down Royal 06/05/2024 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR 95 · 2m180y Goo 168 · below its mark06/05/2024 · OR 95 parBHA102 @ Punchestown 21/05/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 102 · 2m4f134y Goo 155 · below its mark21/05/2024 · OR 102 par21/05102OR 102C8 @ Leopardstown 20/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m7f Goo 161 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f71y Gd 1544/07C?C8 @ Killarney 16/07/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f55y Goo 166 · HIGHER CLASSBHA102 @ Sligo 21/08/2024 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 102 · 2m1f93y Sft 168 · below its mark21/08/2024 · OR 102 par21/08102OR 102C0 @ Colonial Downs 17/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f Fm 140C0 @ Colonial Downs 21/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f Fm 14021/08C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-21Colonial Downs?4th4th0
2025-07-17Colonial Downs?5th5th0
2024-08-21SligoBHA10212th14th2
2024-07-16Killarney?6th5th+1
2024-07-04Bellewstown?4th4th0
2024-06-20Leopardstown?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0420/0621/0821/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength14%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20242nd6/492%93%+0.01
06/05/20242nd9/276%95%+0.18
21/05/20245th4/179%60%-0.19
20/06/20242nd40/10%92%+0.92
04/07/20244th14/126%63%+0.36
16/07/20246th11/271%29%-0.42
21/08/202412th10/382%8%-0.74
17/07/20255th10/147%43%-0.05
21/08/20254th14/126%57%+0.31