3
Gold Rules
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 60
Colonial Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 25/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |