King Of The Isles

3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 54

Colonial Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength44%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-19	Colonial Downs	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-02-12	Fair Grounds	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2025-08-07	Colonial Downs	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 14

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
07/08/2025	8th	4/1	79%	0%	-0.79
12/02/2026	4th	10/1	47%	50%	+0.03
19/07/2026	7th	12/1	37%	45%	+0.09