2

My Friend Lou
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 59
Colonial Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 27/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |