2

My Friend Lou

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 59

Colonial Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f

#11

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 11/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f 12611/04C9C9 @ Laurel Park 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Gd 12226/04C9C9 @ Laurel Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m Fm 1266/06C9C9 @ Laurel Park 27/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 12627/06C9projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Laurel Park?9th9th0
2026-06-06Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-04-26Laurel Park?7th7th0
2026-04-11Laurel Park?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0426/046/0627/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
26/04/20267th25/10%45%+0.45
06/06/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59
27/06/20269th25/10%27%+0.27