Tasker

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69

Colonial Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 1f

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-26	Laurel Park	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-05-10	Laurel Park	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2025-09-03	Colonial Downs	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2025-06-14	Laurel Park	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0
2025-04-27	Laurel Park	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2024-01-28	Laurel Park	?	8th	5th	+3	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 14

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength36%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
28/01/2024	8th	25/1	0%	0%	0.00
27/04/2025	2nd	8/1	58%	91%	+0.33
14/06/2025	4th	10/1	47%	50%	+0.03
03/09/2025	6th	7/2	82%	0%	-0.82
10/05/2026	2nd	4/1	79%	88%	+0.09
26/06/2026	5th	2/1	89%	43%	-0.47