Green Eyed Monster
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 89
Colonial Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-01-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-10-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | -2th | +3 |
| 2025-09-27 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 11/05/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 01/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 10/01/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 17% | -0.76 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |