Itsamonstamash
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 91
Colonial Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-02-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-02-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 16/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |