Talk To The Judge
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 85
Colonial Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-01-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-01-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2024-12-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2024-10-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2023 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 16/09/2023 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 26/07/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/10/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/12/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 24/01/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |