5
Blame Eve
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 75
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/11
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Santa Anita | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 24/11/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 18% | -0.50 |
| 19/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 08/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 67% | -0.30 |