2
Irish B Goode
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 58
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength95%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |