9
She's A Canny Lass
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 58
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 9th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |