10
Snowboarder
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 41
Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 29/11/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |