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3

Spring Training

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 61

Colonial Downs · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 09/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 6f Fas 1229/11C9C9 @ Laurel Park 29/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 50 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark29/11/2025 · OR 50 par29/11C9OR 50C9 @ Laurel Park 14/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 54 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 54 par14/12C9OR 54C9 @ Laurel Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 11912/06C9C9 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 57 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 57 par16/07C9OR 57projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Colonial Downs?5th5th0
2026-06-12Laurel Park?4th4th0
2025-12-14Laurel Park?5th5th0
2025-11-29Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2025-11-09Laurel Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1129/1114/1212/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/11/20252nd9/153%83%+0.31
29/11/20252nd8/158%91%+0.33
14/12/20255th10/147%33%-0.14
12/06/20264th20/10%73%+0.73
16/07/20265th16/116%60%+0.44