8
Madefromliona
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 76
Colonial Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#10
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 08/06/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 24/07/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 05/10/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |