4
Mister Landry
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 86
Colonial Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 16/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 18/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |