10
Norris
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 87
Colonial Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 1f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2025-11-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 15/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |