Cairo Street
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 93
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |