6
Ineedyoubabe
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 81
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-05-06 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 78% | -0.14 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |