2
Queen In The Deck
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 77
Colonial Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength82%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-09 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-02-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-02-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 10/09/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 03/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 23/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |