Bolt From Above
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-12 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-02-06 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/03/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 06/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 15/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |