Brighty
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |