Izzy D'oro
5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 92
Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-06-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 07/09/2024 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 14/06/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |