Our Souper Hero
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 96
Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 05/04/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 09/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |