6
The Brigade
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 93
Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-10-12 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2024 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 01/08/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 08/09/2024 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/10/2024 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |