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3

Zevon

8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 94

Colonial Downs · Race 7 - Optional Claiming · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 22/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 81 · 1m70y Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/05/2025 · OR 81 par22/05C6OR 81C9 @ Delaware Park 31/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 81 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark31/05/2025 · OR 81 parC6 @ Colonial Downs 23/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 79 · 1m2f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/07/2025 · OR 79 par23/07C6OR 79C5 @ Laurel Park 14/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 81 parC5 @ Laurel Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 84 · 1m4f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 84 par20/09C5OR 84C5 @ Laurel Park 11/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 93 · 1m1f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 93 parC5 @ Laurel Park 19/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 88 par19/04C5OR 88C6 @ Laurel Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 88 parC6 @ Colonial Downs 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m1f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 90 par12/07C6OR 90projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Colonial Downs?5th4th+1
2026-06-21Laurel Park?4th3rd+1
2026-04-19Laurel Park?1st-1th+2
2025-10-11Laurel Park?8th6th+2
2025-09-20Laurel Park?2nd0th+2
2025-09-14Laurel Park?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0514/0919/0412/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20255th9/153%50%-0.03
31/05/20253rd11/486%75%-0.11
23/07/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
14/09/20252nd20/10%86%+0.86
20/09/20252nd5/287%83%-0.04
11/10/20258th12/137%0%-0.37
19/04/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
21/06/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
12/07/20265th20/10%43%+0.43