5
Finestkind
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 88
Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/02/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |