G Q Worthy
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 82
Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#14
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 07/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |