2
Jessica's Eyes
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 86
Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/10/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |