6
Jigger
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 85
Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 30/07/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 20/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 10/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |