11
King Covee
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 96
Colonial Downs · Race 8 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#13
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-09-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength6%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 31/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 91% | -0.02 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 18/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |